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Bridging predictive processing and illusionism

Sergio Cermeño-aínsa

Philosophical Psychology October 14, 2026 DOI: 10.1080/09515089.2026.2748328 (opens in new tab)

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Characteristics Theoretical or philosophical paper Peer reviewed
Key points Argues that if Predictive Processing is the correct computational architecture of cognition, it supports an illusionist interpretation of phenomenal consciousness. The argument holds that perception involves structural misrepresentation through inferential, model-dependent representations, that this predictive architecture extends recursively to introspection, and that phenomenal consciousness inherits this character, linking a functional theory to metaphysical conclusions.

Abstract

Theories of consciousness are commonly divided into two broad categories: functional and metaphysical. Functional theories seek to explain how cognitive processes generate conscious experience, whereas metaphysical theories attempt to explain why there is something it is like to be a conscious system. These two traditions have largely developed in parallel, rarely intersecting. In this paper, I argue that they can be systematically connected. Specifically, I argue that if Predictive Processing (PP) provides the correct computational architecture of cognition, then it supports an illusionist interpretation of phenomenal consciousness. The argument proceeds through a series of conditionals linking predictive perception, predictive introspection, and phenomenal consciousness. I first argue that perceptual experience is necessarily mediated by inferential, model-dependent representations and therefore involves structural misrepresentation. I then argue that the predictive architecture extends recursively to introspective awareness. Finally, I argue that phenomenal consciousness is generated by introspective awareness and therefore inherits its inferential and model-dependent character, thereby providing a systematic argument that Predictive Processing is most coherently interpreted within an illusionist framework. The paper thus illustrates how a functional theory of cognition can entail substantive metaphysical consequences for our understanding of consciousness.

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