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The association between cannabis abuse and subsequent schizophrenia: a Swedish national co-relative control study.

G N Giordano, H Ohlsson, Kristina Sundquist, Jan Sundquist, K S Kendler

Psychological Medicine January 2015 DOI: 10.1017/s0033291714001524 (opens in new tab)

Study at a glance

AI-extracted from the abstract
Characteristics Co-relative case-control study Peer reviewed
Sample size 5,456
Population Swedish national registry individuals with an initial schizophrenia diagnosis (2000-2010) and matched schizophrenia-free controls, plus first-cousin, half-sibling, and full-sibling pairs discordant for cannabis abuse
Topics Cannabis
Keywords Causality Co-relative design Cocaine Schizophrenia
Key findings Cannabis abuse is associated with later schizophrenia in the general population (OR 10.44), but this association is substantially attenuated by longer temporal delays and by controlling for familial confounding, with extrapolated discordant monozygotic twin comparisons suggesting fully controlled ORs of approximately 3.3 and 1.6 at 3 and 7 years. The authors argue that cannabis has an appreciable causal impact on schizophrenia risk, but that population-based estimates substantially overestimate the causal association.

Abstract

Although cannabis abuse (CA) is known to be associated with schizophrenia, the causal nature of this association is unclear, with prodromal effects complicating its interpretation. From Swedish national registry databases, we used a co-relative case-control design with full-sibling, half-sibling and first-cousin comparisons, alongside a general Swedish population sample. Using ICD codes, 5456 individuals with an initial diagnosis of schizophrenia (2000-2010) were matched with five schizophrenia-free controls. We further identified first-cousin, half-sibling and full-sibling pairs discordant for CA and statistically extrapolated results for discordant monozygotic (MZ) twins. Within the general Swedish population, CA was strongly associated with later schizophrenia [odds ratio (OR) 10.44, 95% confidence interval (CI) 8.99-12.11]. This association was substantially attenuated both by increasing temporal delays between CA exposure and schizophrenia diagnosis and by controlling for increasing degrees of familial confounding. Extrapolated discordant MZ pairs suggested that fully controlling for confounding familial factors reduced the association between CA and later schizophrenia to more modest levels (ORs of approximately 3.3 and 1.6 with 3- and 7-year temporal delays respectively). Opiate, sedative, cocaine/stimulant and hallucinogen abuse were also strongly associated with subsequent schizophrenia in the general population. After controlling for familial confounding, only cocaine/stimulant exposure remained associated. CA has an appreciable causal impact on future risk for schizophrenia. However, population-based estimates of cannabis-schizophrenia co-morbidity substantially overestimate their causal association. Predictions of the cases of schizophrenia that might be prevented by reduced cannabis consumption based on population associations are therefore likely to be considerably overestimated.

Comparable studies

Other observational and cohort studies on cannabis, most cited first.

Study Year Design Participants
High-potency cannabis and the risk of psychosis People with first episode of psychosis and healthy controls from the local population 2009 Case-control study n = 454
Ayahuasca-Assisted Therapy for Addiction: Results from a Preliminary Observational Study in Canada Rural aboriginal population 2013 Observational study
Impaired cognitive performance in drug free users of recreational ecstasy (MDMA) Otherwise healthy young people 2000 Observational
Continued cannabis use and risk of incidence and persistence of psychotic symptoms: 10 year follow-up cohort study Individuals from the general population in Germany aged 14-24 at baseline 2011 Observational cohort n = 1,923
Cannabis-induced psychosis and subsequent schizophrenia-spectrum disorders: follow-up study of 535 incident cases Patients treated for cannabis-induced psychotic symptoms in Denmark between 1994 and... 2005 Observational cohort n = 535

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