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Measuring Autonomy and Emergence via Granger Causality

Anil K. Seth

Artificial Life January 12, 2010 DOI: 10.1162/artl.2010.16.2.16204 (opens in new tab)

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AI-extracted from the abstract
Characteristics Theoretical or philosophical paper Peer reviewed
Keywords Autonomy Granger causality Causality physics Consciousness Process computing Causation Adaptation eye Cognitive psychology Econometrics Epistemology
Citations 85
Key points Proposes that G-autonomy and G-emergence, derived from Granger causality, provide quantitative and practicable measures for autonomy and emergence, validated through agent-based models.

Abstract

Concepts of emergence and autonomy are central to artificial life and related cognitive and behavioral sciences. However, quantitative and easy-to-apply measures of these phenomena are mostly lacking. Here, I describe quantitative and practicable measures for both autonomy and emergence, based on the framework of multivariate autoregression and specifically Granger causality. G-autonomy measures the extent to which the knowing the past of a variable helps predict its future, as compared to predictions based on past states of external (environmental) variables. G-emergence measures the extent to which a process is both dependent upon and autonomous from its underlying causal factors. These measures are validated by application to agent-based models of predation (for autonomy) and flocking (for emergence). In the former, evolutionary adaptation enhances autonomy; the latter model illustrates not only emergence but also downward causation. I end with a discussion of relations among autonomy, emergence, and consciousness.