Michael W. Duggan

2 papers in the library · 79 citations · publishing 2015-2016

Papers

Feeling the future: A meta-analysis of 90 experiments on the anomalous anticipation of random future events

F1000Research January 29, 2016 Daryl Bem, Patrizio Tressoldi, Thomas Rabeyron et al. 78 citations

A meta-analysis of 90 experiments from 33 laboratories in 14 countries found evidence for a small but statistically significant precognition effect—the ability to be influenced by a randomly selected stimulus before it occurs. The overall effect size (Hedges' g) was 0.09, with a combined z-score of 6.40 and a Bayes Factor of 5.1 × 10⁹, exceeding the threshold for decisive evidence. When the original author's experiments were excluded, the effect size for independent replications was 0.06, with z = 4.16. Additional analyses indicated the database was not significantly compromised by selection bias or p-hacking. The authors discuss the controversial status of precognition and related psi phenomena.

DOI: 10.12688/f1000research.7177.2 Biology

Feeling the future: A meta-analysis of 90 experiments on the anomalous anticipation of random future events [version 1; referees: 2 approved]

DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) October 1, 2015 Daryl Bem, Patrizio Tressoldi, Thomas Rabeyron et al. 1 citation

A meta-analysis of 90 experiments from 33 laboratories in 14 countries found evidence for precognition—the ability to be influenced by a future random event before it occurs. The overall effect was highly significant (z = 6.40, p = 1.2 × 10⁻¹⁰) with a small effect size (Hedges’ g = 0.09). When the original author's experiments were excluded, the effect remained significant (g = 0.06, z = 4.16, p = 1.1 × 10⁻⁵). Bayesian analysis provided decisive evidence for the effect. Statistical tests indicated the database was not significantly affected by selection bias or p-hacking. The authors discuss the controversial status of precognition and related psi phenomena.

DOI: 10.12688/f1000research.7177.1 Anticipation artificial intelligence Open peer review Feeling Plant biology +6