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Machine learning based phenotyping of the response to mindfulness for chronic low back pain

Akshit Soota, Angela C. Incollingo Rodriguez, Benjamin C. Nephew, Paula Gardiner, Jean A. King, Natalia E. Morone, Carolina Ruiz

preprint DOI: 10.1101/2025.08.19.25333990 (opens in new tab)

Study at a glance

AI-extracted from the abstract
Characteristics Secondary analysis of a clinical trial
Sample size 132
Population Participants in the intervention arm of a clinical trial of mindfulness for chronic low back pain
Intervention Mindfulness
Topics Meditation
Key findings Machine learning identified phenotypes that predict response to mindfulness for chronic low back pain with high precision.

Abstract

ABSTRACT Millions of people each year suffer from chronic low back pain (cLBP), which adversely affects their physical and mental health. While non-pharmacological interventions such as mindfulness are known to be effective in treating cLBP, not all patients experience the same benefit. Determining who these treatments might work best for is difficult, as there are no reliable predictors of the response to mindfulness for cLBP. The objective of the current study was to apply predictive machine learning to data collected from a completed clinical trial of mindfulness for cLBP to identify phenotypes characterizing those who did and did not respond to the intervention. The analyses here focused on 132 participants in the intervention arm of the clinical trial of mindfulness for cLBP. The Random Forest machine learning technique was used to identify key characteristics of responders (49) and non-responders (83). The top three responder phenotypes were able to identify 26 out of the 49 responders with 92-100% precision. The top three non-responder phenotypes were able to identify 36 out of 83 non-responders, all with 100% precision. Results from this machine learning based phenotyping can guide clinician and patient decision-making to maximize clinical efficiency, patient outcomes, and resource use as well as inform research and development of mindfulness-based treatments for pain.

Comparable studies

Other non-randomized and open-label trials on meditation, most cited first.

Study Year Design Participants
Mindfulness-Based Stress Reduction in Relation to Quality of Life, Mood, Symptoms of Stress, and Immune Parameters in Breast and Prostate Cancer Outpatients Early-stage breast and prostate cancer patients 2003 Pre-post intervention study n = 59
Exploring self‐compassion and empathy in the context of mindfulness‐based stress reduction (MBSR) Community sample 2010 Pre-post intervention study
Mindfulness-Based Stress Reduction Lowers Psychological Distress In Medical Students Second-year medical students 2003 Prospective nonrandomized cohort-controlled study n = 302
Intensive meditation training, immune cell telomerase activity, and psychological mediators. Retreat participants and matched controls 2011 Controlled trial with wait-list control group n = 60
The Effectiveness of Mindfulness Training for Children with ADHD and Mindful Parenting for their Parents Children aged 8-12 with ADHD and their parents 2011 Within-group waitlist controlled trial n = 22

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