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Prediction Without Generalization: A Reanalysis of EEG Dream Recall Models in the DREAM Database

Mehdi Belafekir

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) June 8, 2026 preprint DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.20597471 (opens in new tab)

Study at a glance

AI-extracted from the abstract
Characteristics Validation analyses
Sample size 148
Population Subjects in sleep and wakefulness research
Topics Dreaming
Keywords Recall Generalization Dream Variance accounting Code set theory Identity music Artificial intelligence Natural language processing Database Electroencephalography
Key points No dataset-stage combination showed evidence of above-chance generalization after bootstrap testing, and dataset identity dominated predictive variance (74.5%).

Abstract

52 validation analyses across 6 datasets, 148 subjects, and 1,267 awakenings. No dataset-stage combination showed evidence of above-chance generalization after bootstrap testing. Dataset identity dominates predictive variance (74.5%). All code and data publicly available.

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