Individual and situational factors predicting threatening events and pandemic-related threatening events in dreams during the COVID-19 pandemic
Ville Loukola, Jarno Tuominen, Eveliina Malinen, Katariina Välimaa, Henri Olkoniemi, Antti Revonsuo, Katja Valli
September 11, 2025 preprint DOI: 10.31234/osf.io/bsg7x_v1 (opens in new tab) via OpenAlex
Summary
AI-generated from the abstractDuring the COVID-19 pandemic, individual factors such as life satisfaction and positive emotions were better predictors of threatening dream content than daily situational factors like worry about the virus or media consumption. In a large Finnish sample using prospective dream diaries, lower life satisfaction was the only statistically significant predictor for threatening events in dreams, and fewer positive emotions in the past two weeks was the only significant predictor for pandemic-related threatening events. These findings suggest that the tendency to experience threatening dreams is more of a stable trait than a daily fluctuating feature, consistent with the threat simulation theory of dreaming.
Study at a glance
| Characteristics | Prospective observational study |
|---|---|
| Population | Large Finnish sample |
| Keywords | Situational ethics Dream Trait Experience sampling method Life satisfaction |
| Key finding | Individual factors (lower life satisfaction and fewer positive emotions) were better predictors of threatening dream content than situational factors during the COVID-19 pandemic. |
Abstract
Previous studies have examined how the COVID-19 pandemic affected dream recall, dream content, and nightmares. However, relatively little attention has been devoted to the individual and situational factors associated with pandemic-induced changes in dreams. The threat simulation theory of dreaming predicts that threatening situations in our waking life (situational factors) influence threatening dream content. At the same time, individual differences predispose some people to be more prone to experience threatening dreams more frequently than others. Using a large Finnish sample of prospective dream diaries, we analyzed the relative importance of individual (e.g., belonging to COVID-19 risk group, life satisfaction, depression symptoms) and situational factors (e.g., daily COVID-19 worry, COVID-19 media consumption, negative and positive emotions) to determine the best predictors for threatening events and COVID-19 related threatening events in dreams. Random forest analyses revealed that individual factors were consistently better predictors than situational factors for both threatening events and pandemic-related threatening events in dreams. Lower life satisfaction was the only statistically significant predictor for threatening events, and fewer positive emotions in the past two weeks the only statistically significant predictor for pandemic-related threatening events, in dreams. These findings suggest that the propensity to experience threatening dream content, including pandemic-related threatening events, is more of a stable trait rather than a daily fluctuating feature of dreams. In the light of the threat simulation theory, it could be argued that individual variation in the proneness to simulate threatening events adaptively interacts with daily experiences to modulate threatening dream content.