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Predicting Cardiovascular Collapse in Critically Ill Patients During Intubation Induction: A Prospective Observational Study.

Ömer Emgin, Gamze Taşkan, Aytuğ Yıldız, İmren Taşkıran, Engin Haftacı, Adnan Ata, Mehmet Yılmaz

Medicina (Kaunas, Lithuania) January 15, 2026 DOI: 10.3390/medicina62010177 (opens in new tab)

Study at a glance

AI-extracted from the abstract
Characteristics Observational cohort Peer reviewed
Sample size 130
Population Intensive care unit patients undergoing intubation
Interventions ketamine propofol
Topics Ketamine
Keywords Intensive care unit Peri-intubation cardiovascular collapse Propofol Shock indices
Key findings Ketamine reduced the risk of peri-intubation cardiovascular collapse, while propofol, older age, higher lactate, and higher Diastolic Shock Index increased the risk.

Abstract

Background and

Objectives: The study aimed to evaluate the predictive significance of Shock Indices and induction agents in predicting the risk of Peri-Intubation Cardiovascular Collapse (PIC) during intubation in the ICU.

Materials and Methods: A total of 130 patients were analyzed in the study after dividing them into 2 groups based on the definition of PIC as Patients with PIC and Non-PIC Patients. PIC was defined as the detection of at least SBP 90 mmHg with >15 mL/kg crystalloid fluid infusion, or development of cardiac arrest. The relationship between Shock Index (SI), Diastolic Shock Index (DSI), Modified Shock Index (MSI), Age Shock Index (Age-SI), and induction agents (ketamine, propofol) and PIC was evaluated.

Results: The PIC was detected in 62 patients (47.7%). Age-SI showed the highest predictive performance (AUC = 0.686, p < 0.001). Ketamine provided a protective effect (OR = 0.161, p = 0.003). Propofol (OR = 2.962, p = 0.048), age (OR = 1.065, p = 0.002), lactate (OR = 1.265, p = 0.047), and DSI (OR = 2.300, p = 0.037) were identified as independent risk factors. ICU mortality was significantly higher in the PIC group (74.2% vs. 20.6%, p < 0.001).

Conclusions: Age, lactate, DSI, and Age-SI are valuable predictive parameters for PIC. Ketamine reduces the risk of PIC, while propofol increases it. These results support evidence-based risk assessment and induction agent selection in ICU intubation protocols.

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